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Biophys J, April 1999, p. 1847-1855, Vol. 76, No. 4
*Department of Cellular and Molecular Physiology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06510; #Department of Biomathematics, University of California, Los Angeles, California 90095; and §Department of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06510, USA
Many studies of synaptic transmission have assumed a
parametric model to estimate the mean quantal content and size or the effect upon them of manipulations such as the induction of long-term potentiation. Classical tests of fit usually assume that model parameters have been selected independently of the data. Therefore, their use is problematic after parameters have been estimated. We
hypothesized that Monte Carlo (MC) simulations of a quantal model could
provide a table of parameter-independent critical values with which to
test the fit after parameter estimation, emulating Lilliefors's tests.
However, when we tested this hypothesis within a conventional quantal
model, the empirical distributions of two conventional goodness-of-fit
statistics were affected by the values of the quantal parameters,
falsifying the hypothesis. Notably, the tests' critical values
increased when the combined variances of the noise and quantal-size
distributions were reduced, increasing the distinctness of quantal
peaks. Our results support two conclusions. First, tests that use a
predetermined critical value to assess the fit of a quantal model after
parameter estimation may operate at a differing unknown level of
significance for each experiment. Second, a MC test enables a valid
assessment of the fit of a quantal model after parameter estimation.
Biophys J, April 1999, p. 1847-1855, Vol. 76, No. 4
© 1999 by the Biophysical Society 0006-3495/99/04/1847/09 $2.00
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